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Highlighted Publications


Do Modern Preschool Programs Suffer from Declining Effectiveness?
This article reviews evidence from recent randomized controlled trials and lottery studies, comparing them with older, small-scale interventions. Across studies, modern preschool programs produce much smaller short-term gains (about 0.21 SD vs. 0.45 SD in earlier programs) and show faster fadeout, with impacts shrinking by 62% within a year. The Policy Scientist's Perspective This article addresses an important policy question: why the measured impacts of preschool have weake
Nov 14, 2025


Do Universal Free School Meal Policies Increase Participation in U.S. School Breakfast and Lunch Programs?
This study asked whether federal and state Universal Free School Meal (UFSM) policies increased student participation in the National School Lunch Program (NSLP) and School Breakfast Program (SBP). Using school-level meal claims from 25 U.S. states between 2019 and 2024, the authors conducted a difference-in-difference analysis. They found that federal UFSM policies during the COVID-19 pandemic raised participation by 10 percentage points for lunches and 8 for breakfasts. Whe
Nov 11, 2025


What Explains the Sustained Decline in U.S. K–12 Academic Achievement That Began Long Before the Pandemic?
This article asks why U.S. K–12 academic achievement has been declining since before the COVID-19 pandemic. Using national and state NAEP data from 2009–2019, along with supporting evidence from TIMSS and SEDA, the study finds that achievement losses began around 2013 and were especially large among low-performing students. Scores at the 10th percentile in eighth-grade math fell by about 0.17 standard deviations—roughly equivalent to 4.5 months of learning. The analysis shows
Nov 3, 2025


Do State-Level Gains in NAEP Scores Predict Better Long-Term Economic and Social Outcomes?
This study asks whether changes in state NAEP math scores predict long-term economic and social outcomes for the students who experienced them. The authors link state-level 8th-grade NAEP math results from 1990–2019 to later-life data from the Census, American Community Survey, and FBI crime records. They find that a one–standard deviation increase in 8th-grade math scores is associated with about an 8% rise in adult earnings, higher educational attainment, and lower rates of
Oct 21, 2025


How Does the Design of a State's Tuition-Free College Program Influence Community Colleges’ Offerings and Student Enrollment?
This study asked how the design of Virginia’s “Get a Skill, Get a Job, Get Ahead” (G3) tuition-free college program affected community...
Oct 12, 2025


How Did the COVID-19 Pandemic Disrupt and Reshape Student Learning Trajectories?
This study asks how the COVID-19 pandemic affected student learning trajectories in Michigan, particularly in math and reading....
Oct 9, 2025


Can Targeted Funding Formulas Improve Student Academic Performance?
This study examines whether a weighted-student funding pilot in Nevada improved school expenditures and student achievement. Researchers...
Sep 19, 2025


How Does Poverty Affect Educational Outcomes?
This study asks how the duration and timing of childhood net worth poverty (NWP)—household wealth below 25% of the federal poverty...
Sep 17, 2025


Does Teaching in Your Home State Increase Teacher Retention?
This study investigates whether being assigned to teach in one’s home state affects teacher retention. Using unique Teach For America...
Sep 5, 2025


Does Replacing Student Loans with Need-Based Gift Aid Change College Outcomes for Low-Income Students?
This study asks whether substituting student loans with need-based gift aid alters postsecondary outcomes for low-income students at...
Aug 25, 2025


Does Intensive College Advising Improve Selective College Outcomes for High-Achieving, Low-Income Students?
This study investigates whether intensive, personalized advising through the EMERGE Fellowship improves selective college outcomes for...
Aug 20, 2025


Do Tuition-Free College Programs Increase Voter Turnout and Affect Election Outcomes?
This study asks whether large-scale tuition subsidies increase political participation. Using 16.4 million FAFSA records linked to...
Aug 15, 2025


Can Public Investment in Community Colleges Draw Adult Learners Away From For-Profits?
This study investigates whether public investment in community colleges can shift adult learners away from for-profit institutions. Using...
Aug 11, 2025


How Did the COVID-19 Pandemic Reshape Teacher Attrition and Mobility?
This study investigates how teacher attrition and mobility in Michigan shifted before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using...
Jul 25, 2025


How Does Lowering the Vote Threshold for School Bonds Affect Local Education Funding?
This article examines how lowering the vote threshold to approve local school bonds affects education funding. Using a...
Jul 15, 2025


Why Haven’t Community College Transfer Rates Improved Despite Decades of Policy Reform?
This policy brief asks why community college to university transfer rates remain persistently low despite extensive policy reforms....
Jul 2, 2025


Are Algorithms Used in Higher Education Predictive Models Reinforcing Racial Inequities in Student Success?
This study investigates whether predictive algorithms used in higher education exhibit racial bias that disadvantages Black students....
Jun 11, 2025


How Did Falling Housing Prices During the Great Recession Affect Children’s Educational Outcomes?
This study investigates how household exposure to housing price declines—specifically, negative equity—affected children’s educational...
May 28, 2025


Are Women’s Innovative Ideas in Academia Cited Less Than Men’s?
This study investigates whether innovative academic work by women receives the same citation recognition as similar work by men. Using...
May 21, 2025


How Well Do Professional Reference Ratings Predict Teacher Performance?
This study asks whether professional reference ratings can predict future teacher performance. Using data from Spokane Public Schools...
May 19, 2025
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