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Highlighted Publications


Do E-Cigarette Flavor Bans Reduce Vaping?
This study asked whether state bans on flavored e-cigarettes reduce vaping or lead to more cigarette smoking among young people and adults. Researchers analyzed survey data from 2015–2023 using the Youth Risk Behavior Survey and the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System across six states with flavor bans and several control states. They found that flavor bans reduced e-cigarette use among young adults by about 6.7 percentage points in 2022 and among adults by 1.2 points
Nov 9


Does Capping Malpractice Damages Alter Physicians’ Behavior?
This study asked whether limiting malpractice payouts in North Carolina affected how doctors make childbirth decisions, especially the use of cesarean deliveries. Using hospital discharge data from North Carolina and Florida from 2008 to 2017, the authors compared outcomes before and after North Carolina’s 2011 cap on noneconomic damages. They found that c-section rates fell by about 5 percent on average, and nearly 7 percent five years after the law took effect. Doctors also
Nov 5


What Explains the Sustained Decline in U.S. K–12 Academic Achievement That Began Long Before the Pandemic?
This article asks why U.S. K–12 academic achievement has been declining since before the COVID-19 pandemic. Using national and state NAEP data from 2009–2019, along with supporting evidence from TIMSS and SEDA, the study finds that achievement losses began around 2013 and were especially large among low-performing students. Scores at the 10th percentile in eighth-grade math fell by about 0.17 standard deviations—roughly equivalent to 4.5 months of learning. The analysis shows
Nov 3


Did Medicaid Expansions Under the Affordable Care Act Increase the Use of Certified Nurse Midwives for Deliveries in the United States?
This study asks whether the Affordable Care Act’s Medicaid expansions led to greater use of Certified Nurse Midwives (CNMs) instead of physicians for childbirth. Using U.S. birth certificate data from 2010 to 2019, the authors compared states that expanded Medicaid to those that did not. They found that Medicaid expansions increased CNM-attended births by about one percentage point—an 11% rise—while physician-attended births declined by a similar amount. The increase occurred
Nov 1


Did the Supreme Court’s Obergefell v. Hodges Decision Increase Mortgage Demand Among Same-Sex Couples?
This study asks whether the Supreme Court’s 2015 decision in Obergefell v. Hodges , which legalized same-sex marriage nationwide, increased mortgage demand among same-sex couples. Using data from the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act covering nearly all U.S. mortgage applications between 1998 and 2019, the authors compared same-sex and different-sex couples before and after the ruling. They found that mortgage demand by same-sex couples rose by about 12% in states newly affected b
Oct 31


Do U.S. Gun Buyback Programs Reduce Either Gun Crime or Firearm Deaths?
This study asked whether U.S. city gun buyback programs actually reduce gun crime, homicides, or suicides. Using data from the National Incident-Based Reporting System (1991–2015) and the National Vital Statistics System, the authors analyzed nearly 700 buyback events across more than 400 cities. They found no evidence that these programs lowered firearm-related crime or deaths. Statistically, they could rule out any decrease in gun crime larger than 1.2 percent in the year f
Oct 30


Are Text-Only E-Cigarette Warnings About Health Harms More Effective Than the FDA’s Nicotine Addiction Warning?
This meta-analysis asked whether text-only e-cigarette warnings about health harms are more effective than the FDA’s nicotine addiction warning. Researchers examined 24 experimental studies including 22,549 participants, measuring outcomes such as attention, risk beliefs, and intentions to vape or quit. Results showed text-only warnings increased attention (d = 0.52), negative emotions (d = 0.65), risk beliefs (d = 0.26), and intentions to quit vaping (d = 0.34), while reduci
Oct 28


Does Participation in SNAP During Early Childhood Protect Against the Long-Term Cardiovascular Risks of Food Insecurity?
This study asked whether participation in the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) during early childhood can protect against the long-term cardiovascular effects of food insecurity. Researchers followed 1,071 children from birth to age 22 using data from the Future of Families–Cardiovascular Health Among Young Adults study. They found that early food insecurity was linked to worse cardiovascular health, with a 2.2-point lower Life’s Essential 8 score and 1.4 time
Oct 25


How Does Electric Vehicle Adoption Improve Air Quality and Infant Health?
The study asks whether increased adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) improves air quality and infant health in the United States. Using county-level data from 2010–2021 on EV registrations, air pollution (especially nitrogen dioxide), birth outcomes, and child hospital visits, the authors analyze both fixed-effects and instrumental-variable models. They find that a one standard deviation increase in EV adoption—about 12 per 1,000 vehicles—reduces nitrogen dioxide levels by up
Oct 25


Can Participation in SNAP During Early Childhood Protect Against the Long-Term Cardiovascular Risks of Food Insecurity?
This study asked whether food insecurity in early childhood is linked to poorer cardiovascular health in young adulthood and whether participation in the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) can reduce these risks. Researchers analyzed data from 1,071 children in the Future of Families–Cardiovascular Health Among Young Adults study, following them from ages 3–5 to about age 22. Early childhood food insecurity was associated with a 2.2-point lower overall Life’s Es
Oct 22


Do State-Level Gains in NAEP Scores Predict Better Long-Term Economic and Social Outcomes?
This study asks whether changes in state NAEP math scores predict long-term economic and social outcomes for the students who experienced them. The authors link state-level 8th-grade NAEP math results from 1990–2019 to later-life data from the Census, American Community Survey, and FBI crime records. They find that a one–standard deviation increase in 8th-grade math scores is associated with about an 8% rise in adult earnings, higher educational attainment, and lower rates of
Oct 21


Does Legalizing Recreational Cannabis Increase the Use of Cannabis, Cigarettes, and E-Cigarettes?
This study examined whether legalizing recreational cannabis in U.S. states affected the use of cannabis, cigarettes, and e-cigarettes over five years. Researchers analyzed data from more than 55,000 adults across the United States using the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health (PATH) study from 2013 to 2022. They compared states that legalized cannabis with those that did not. Cannabis use increased by 3.28 percentage points and e-cigarette (ENDS) use rose by 1.39 poi
Oct 20


How Does the Design of a State's Tuition-Free College Program Influence Community Colleges’ Offerings and Student Enrollment?
This study asked how the design of Virginia’s “Get a Skill, Get a Job, Get Ahead” (G3) tuition-free college program affected community...
Oct 12


How Did the COVID-19 Pandemic Disrupt and Reshape Student Learning Trajectories?
This study asks how the COVID-19 pandemic affected student learning trajectories in Michigan, particularly in math and reading....
Oct 9


How Does Stricter Immigration Enforcement Impact the Economic Lives of Immigrant Women?
This study asks how stricter immigration enforcement affected the employment, wages, and job quality of immigrant women in the United...
Oct 7


Can Refundable Child Tax Credits Effectively Reduce Child Poverty?
This article asks whether states can affordably implement a targeted, fully refundable Child Tax Credit (CTC) to reduce child poverty....
Oct 3


Do Restrictive State Gun Laws Reduce Firearm-Related Suicides and Homicides?
This study asked whether restrictive state gun laws reduce firearm-related suicides and homicides. Researchers examined gun law scores...
Oct 1


Does Pesticide Use Increase Rates of Parkinson's Disease? Evidence from Golf Courses
This study examined whether proximity to golf courses raises the risk of Parkinson’s disease (PD). Using Rochester Epidemiology Project...
Sep 29


How Prevalent Is Extremely Severe Obesity Among U.S. Children and Adolescents, and What Are Its Health Consequences?
Short Summary This nationally representative study analyzed 25,847 U.S. children and adolescents from NHANES (2008–2023) to assess...
Sep 28


Does Living Close to a Polling Place Make You More Likely to Vote?
Full Citation and Link to Article Bagwe, G., Margitic, J., & Stashko, A. (2025). Polling place location and the costs of voting. Journal...
Sep 24


Are Republicans Better at Gerrymandering than Democrats?
This paper investigates how partisan control over redistricting influences seat shares in the U.S. House of Representatives. Using...
Sep 23


Do Plastic Bag Bans Reduce Shoreline Plastic Litter?
This study asks whether plastic bag bans and fees reduce shoreline plastic litter. The authors combine data from 611 U.S. state, county,...
Sep 21


Can Targeted Funding Formulas Improve Student Academic Performance?
This study examines whether a weighted-student funding pilot in Nevada improved school expenditures and student achievement. Researchers...
Sep 19


How Does Poverty Affect Educational Outcomes?
This study asks how the duration and timing of childhood net worth poverty (NWP)—household wealth below 25% of the federal poverty...
Sep 17
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