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Highlighted Publications


Can State Child Tax Credits Reduce Poverty Without Discouraging Work?
Unrath et al. (2026) asked whether unconditional state child tax credits can reduce child poverty without substantially reducing parental employment. They used American Community Survey data, Supplemental Poverty Measure data, tax simulations, and labor supply estimates from recent state child tax credit studies to model the effects of different credit amounts and income phaseouts. They found that a $1,000 credit per child, phased out beginning at $50,000 for single filers, w
21 hours ago


Does Starting at a Community College Affect Mid-Career Wages and Occupational Outcomes?
Swiderski and McDonnell (2026) examined whether students who begin at a community college have different long-term educational, occupational, and wage outcomes than similar students who start at a four-year college. They analyzed data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997 (NLSY97), linked to O*NET occupational data, and compared similar students using propensity score weighting. They found that community college starters were more than 20 percentage points less
2 days ago


Do Nursing Home Closures Increase Mortality Among Displaced Residents?
Olenski (2025) examined whether nursing home closures harm displaced long-stay residents or improve their long-term outcomes by moving them to better facilities. He analyzed nationwide administrative data on all long-stay U.S. nursing home residents, including 1,104 nursing home closures, using a matched difference-in-differences design. He found that closures increased short-term mortality by 1.18 percentage points, a 16.3% increase over the baseline quarterly mortality rate
3 days ago


How Did the Threat to End DACA Change the Lives of Its Recipients?
Amuedo-Dorantes and Wang (2026) examined whether the economic and social benefits of the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program persisted after the Trump administration’s 2017 effort to end the program created prolonged policy uncertainty. They analyzed 2008–2022 American Community Survey data (excluding 2020) using difference-in-differences and event-study methods to compare DACA-eligible and ineligible undocumented immigrants. They found that early labor mark
6 days ago
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